Interesting post from Jon Talton in his Sound Economy blog. He pegs his story on Amazon's decision to close three distribution warehouses but what is really revealing is the looming problems in commercial real estate.
But now the delinquency rate on securitized loans for office buildings, retail developments, stores and other investment property has more than doubled since last September, to 1.8 percent. We're talking about $700 billion... There's concern that hundreds of banks with heavy exposure to commercial real estate could fail.
While the Northwest largely escaped some of the more devastating declines in 2008, we are seeing vacancy rates increase in areas like downtown Seattle that binged on commercial development in the run up to this economic decline.
Are we in line for wave of commercial real estate defaults that fuels further economic decline? Let's hope not.
